Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.231592 0.271058 0.317675 0.377478 0.453155 0.547113 0.674828
2025-01-05 0.168422 0.214850 0.276654 0.367560 0.502659 0.704636 1.048224
2025-01-12 0.136758 0.185560 0.256512 0.372637 0.570013 0.919110 1.663130
2025-01-19 0.114310 0.162150 0.236365 0.368238 0.618218 1.130134 2.486249
2025-01-26 0.100860 0.148598 0.226946 0.376856 0.691841 1.439465 3.965104
2025-02-02 0.091573 0.139464 0.222097 0.391325 0.783841 1.867743 6.714866
2025-02-09 0.083604 0.130907 0.216068 0.401136 0.870817 2.373464 11.546414
2025-02-16 0.077389 0.124254 0.211974 0.413552 0.972220 3.056754 21.643354
2025-02-23 0.071668 0.117550 0.206351 0.420698 1.064538 3.856375 42.619512
2025-03-02 0.066472 0.111051 0.199878 0.423866 1.148337 4.788974 91.173216
2025-03-09 0.061567 0.104448 0.192017 0.421277 1.213008 5.785014 212.718788
2025-03-16 0.056825 0.097595 0.182512 0.411756 1.248183 6.713479 536.132976
2025-03-23 0.054056 0.094443 0.180935 0.424903 1.390190 9.056436 5421.493435
2025-03-30 0.050097 0.088448 0.171994 0.414207 1.423874 10.601143 209190.994373
2025-04-06 0.047549 0.085106 0.168785 0.420442 1.547344 14.046125 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044671 0.080767 0.162545 0.415369 1.612052 17.293341 NaN
2025-04-20 0.042829 0.078458 0.160958 0.425513 1.776045 24.460010 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041441 0.076986 0.161253 0.442533 2.007255 38.119246 NaN
2025-05-04 0.039919 0.075059 0.160079 0.454090 2.223164 59.140201 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038622 0.073508 0.159679 0.468736 2.491067 100.841173 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037195 0.071521 0.157811 0.477176 2.729293 172.195798 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035722 0.069295 0.154979 0.480921 2.939655 298.672355 NaN
2025-06-01 0.034155 0.066716 0.150819 0.477861 3.085573 500.352683 NaN